Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.026897 0.028840 0.030863 0.033132 0.035606 0.038226 0.041217
2025-06-22 0.023534 0.026279 0.029282 0.032825 0.036903 0.041468 0.046988
2025-06-29 0.021057 0.024226 0.027824 0.032233 0.037522 0.043703 0.051529
2025-07-06 0.019690 0.023219 0.027347 0.032573 0.039066 0.046941 0.057323
2025-07-13 0.018442 0.022197 0.026704 0.032567 0.040074 0.049476 0.062319
2025-07-20 0.017576 0.021547 0.026422 0.032923 0.041479 0.052517 0.068104
2025-07-27 0.016603 0.020677 0.025779 0.032730 0.042102 0.054516 0.072576
2025-08-03 0.015746 0.019890 0.025173 0.032515 0.042636 0.056373 0.076923
2025-08-10 0.014993 0.019189 0.024625 0.032318 0.043145 0.058182 0.081280
2025-08-17 0.014347 0.018586 0.024164 0.032194 0.043719 0.060081 0.085863
2025-08-24 0.013646 0.017870 0.023504 0.031742 0.043776 0.061205 0.089317
2025-08-31 0.012963 0.017144 0.022792 0.031165 0.043600 0.061946 0.092192
2025-09-07 0.012418 0.016588 0.022293 0.030877 0.043839 0.063336 0.096224
2025-09-14 0.011921 0.016078 0.021835 0.030618 0.044100 0.064763 0.100410
2025-09-21 0.011377 0.015476 0.021214 0.030080 0.043890 0.065419 0.103334
2025-09-28 0.011123 0.015277 0.021166 0.030394 0.045014 0.068257 0.110180
2025-10-05 0.010795 0.014956 0.020920 0.030388 0.045621 0.070276 0.115738
2025-10-12 0.010579 0.014789 0.020894 0.030715 0.046773 0.073258 0.123249
2025-10-19 0.010243 0.014429 0.020560 0.030538 0.047079 0.074813 0.128245
2025-10-26 0.009922 0.014079 0.020226 0.030341 0.047334 0.076284 0.133182
2025-11-02 0.009623 0.013752 0.019912 0.030159 0.047600 0.077779 0.138274
2025-11-09 0.009357 0.013465 0.019649 0.030046 0.047971 0.079475 0.143885
2025-11-16 0.009034 0.013079 0.019216 0.029630 0.047790 0.080147 0.147475